Going to take care of this at the start- These are seedings based on my ratings. Do I really think No. 15 South Carolina will miss the tournament? No. But, the Gamecocks are rated at No. 50. So I will choose to honor it, which may be very annoying to some of you.
The seeds are NOT based on what I think the selection committee will do. They are based on what I would do, if I truly followed the ratings.
(Updated on 3/17 at 4:30pm)
1
UConn (top overall), Houston, Purdue, Iowa State
2
Arizona, Auburn, Tennessee, North Carolina
3
Illinois, Duke, Alabama, Creighton
4
Marquette, Baylor, Saint Mary’s, BYU
5
Gonzaga, Kansas, Wisconsin, Kentucky
6
Michigan State, Texas Tech, Florida, Texas
7
San Diego State, Colorado, New Mexico, TCU
8
Mississippi State, St. John’s, Nebraska, Clemson
9
Dayton, Villanova, Cincinnati, Florida Atlantic
10
Oklahoma, Washington State, Nevada/Pittsburgh, Wake Forest/Boise State
11
Oregon, Drake, James Madison, NC State
12
Duquesne, Grand Canyon, McNeese State, Yale
13
Samford, Charleston, Vermont, UAB
14
Akron, Morehead State, Colgate, Oakland
15
Western Kentucky, South Dakota State, Longwood, Long Beach State
16
Stetson, Saint Peter’s, Montana State/Howard, Grambling State/Wagner
Final thoughts- Would focus more on the lower seeded teams (seeds 11-16) if you are an accuracy freak. The higher seeded teams (seeds 1-6) should be fairly close but I have slightly less confidence. The middle seeds (seeds 7-10) primarily emphasizes bubble teams I think should be in the tournament. The severe example of South Carolina being out of the tournament could potentially hint at them being a lower seed than expected.